|
|
⚠ Data quality: DEGRADED
market_pulse — Friday 07:07 CEST mixes Aug 6 US equity/^TNX closes with live Aug 7 FX/commodity/crypto prints.
us_equity_ideas — Aggregator returned stale/erroneous NVDA quote ($197 vs web $218.99); today's list excludes NVDA and uses web-verified ABNB/TWLO/LLY prices.
eu_equity_ideas — EU single-name quotes mixed; SIE.DE priced via AlphaVantage Aug 6 close €273.10.
penny_plays — Zero penny ideas; no sub-$5 name cleared the 48h catalyst and balance-sheet bar.
portfolio_reality_check — Commodities/crypto holdings all price_estimated; PLTR stop-loss SELL still PENDING from prior run.
commodities_outlook — Portfolio Manager live marks missing for GLD/USO/UNG; newsletter prices from aggregator/Yahoo.
|
|
THE BOTTOM LINE
|
RISK-ON
Friday's payrolls print (consensus ~80k–97.5k jobs, 4.2% unemployment) is the gate: oil at $78.36 (+4.8%) and 10Y at 4.67% are already pricing stagflation risk before the 8:30 a.m. ET release.
Today's Top Picks
LLY
· us_equity_ideas — Q2 +48% revenue; Morningstar FVE raised to $980 Aug 6.
ABNB
· us_equity_ideas — Q2 beat-and-raise; after-hours +~9% on Aug 6.
GLD
· commodities_outlook — Pre-NFP gold hedge with oil at $78 and 10Y 4.67%.
TWLO
· us_equity_ideas — Q2 beat; FY growth guide raised to 18–18.5%.
SIE.DE
· eu_equity_ideas — Record €27.9B Q3 orders; AI data-center leverage.
|
Biggest Risk
Payrolls stagflation whipsaw
Probability: High • Impact: High
|
|
Portfolio Snapshot
All Portfolios, Combined: $713959.24
Blended P&L: +2.36% • 30d Hit Rate: +70.00%
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|
YESTERDAY'S MARKET RETROSPECTIVE
Thursday was a cautious consolidation ahead of payrolls: the Dow fell 0.85% to 53,885.10 (ending a five-day win streak) while the S&P slipped just 0.18% and the Nasdaq edged 0.06% lower as investors sat on record highs. Asia led the risk-off with KOSPI -5.98% and memory-chip profit-taking (Western Digital -13%, Datadog -19% despite beats), while a rebound in WTI toward $78 lifted inflation fears and pushed the 10-year toward 4.67%.
How Yesterday Unfolded
Asia
Asia extended the semiconductor unwind: KOSPI plunged 5.98%, the Nikkei lost 1.49%, and Shanghai fell 1.16% as SK Hynix-style memory profit-taking spread from Wall Street.
Europe
Europe held steadier: Stoxx 600 +0.04%, FTSE +0.24%, and CAC +0.03% while DAX slipped 0.29% — a modest buffer before the US payrolls countdown.
US
US cash finished lower in orderly fashion: Dow -0.85%, S&P -0.18%, Nasdaq -0.06% with software/memory guidance air-pockets (DDOG -19%, WDC -13%) offsetting pockets of strength; yields rose with oil.
Capital Rotation
Memory / high-beta software → Defensives / communication services
· WDC -13% / DDOG -19% vs. XLC communication services relative resilience; Dow -0.85% vs. Nasdaq -0.06%
Post-earnings guidance skepticism in AI-adjacent software crowded out risk appetite ahead of payrolls.
Equities (broad) → Energy / higher yields
· WTI rebound toward $78 (+4.8% into Friday) while ^TNX rose to 4.67%
Geopolitical oil premium and inflation angst pulled capital toward commodities and rates, pressuring cyclicals.
Key Drivers
Payrolls caution after soft ADP
— Markets de-risked into Friday's July NFP (~80k–97.5k consensus, unemployment 4.2%) after ADP's +44k miss.
Software/memory guidance air-pocket
— Datadog fell ~19% despite an earnings beat; Western Digital dropped 13% post-print on valuation/guidance concerns.
Oil rebound reignites inflation fears
— Crude pushed toward $78 as Yemen/Hormuz uncertainty returned, lifting yields alongside energy.
Airbnb/Cloudflare after-hours beats
— ABNB jumped ~9% and NET outlook impressed after the bell, setting up a Friday gap-risk offset to the cautious cash close.
Bridge to Today
Watch whether the 8:30 a.m. ET payrolls print validates the oil-led inflation scare or re-opens the soft-landing bid that gold and prior ETF inflows were pricing.
|
|
COMMODITIES OUTLOOK
Oil's Friday-morning surge to $78.36 (+4.79%) clashes with still-firm gold at $4,324 — a classic pre-payrolls stagflation setup. Favor GLD into the print; keep USO on HOLD (do not add beta into a binary jobs/OPEC day) and watch UNG for a separate gas story.
Cross-Commodity Macro Linkage
Gold flat near $4,325 while WTI jumps ~5% into payrolls implies markets are hedging both inflation (oil) and growth scares (metals) simultaneously. HY OAS at 2.75% still looks complacent — if NFP is hot, expect oil and yields to lead; if soft, GLD should outperform USO over the next few sessions.
|
Gold
PRECIOUS METAL BUY 🔥 7-issue streak
GLD
|
$389.64
▲ +0.00%
|
Into the 8:30 a.m. ET payrolls release, expect GLD to hold bid if the print misses and real yields retreat; conviction 7.5 BUY as the cleanest macro hedge vs. oil-led inflation angst. Spot gold near $4,325 keeps the central-bank/ETF bid intact.
⚡ GC=F $4,324.6 Aug 7 ⚡ July NFP consensus ~80k–97.5k ⚡ 10Y at 4.67% pre-print ⚡ HY OAS 2.75%
Invalidation: Real 10-year yields rise above 2.5% on a sustained basis post-NFP.
|
|
WTI Crude
ENERGY HOLD 🔥 7-issue streak
USO
|
$114.88
▲ +4.79%
|
Over the next few sessions, hold USO rather than add: WTI at $78.36 already prices Yemen/Hormuz anxiety and a payrolls-sensitive Fed path. Conviction 5.0 HOLD — upside is live but binary into both NFP and corridor headlines.
⚡ CL=F $78.36 (+4.79%) Aug 7 ⚡ Yemen/Hormuz headline risk ⚡ Friday payrolls inflation read-through
Invalidation: WTI sustains below $72 for two consecutive weeks.
|
|
Natural Gas
ENERGY WATCH
UNG
|
$9.74
▼ -3.18%
|
Over the next week, watch UNG for a weather/storage dislocation rather than trade it: Henry Hub near $2.76 is depressed while oil rallies, keeping gas beta uncorrelated. Conviction 4.0 WATCH — no add until storage draws confirm.
⚡ NG=F ~$2.76 Aug 7 ⚡ Oil/gas divergence (CL +4.8% vs NG -0.4%) ⚡ EIA storage report next week
Invalidation: UNG breaks below $8.50 on rising storage builds.
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MARKET PULSE
|
S&P 500
7709.96
▼ -0.18%
|
NASDAQ
26348.35
▼ -0.06%
|
Dow Jones
53885.1
▼ -0.85%
|
Russell 2K
3001.55
▼ -0.58%
|
VIX
15.15
▼ -4.17%
|
EUR/USD
1.1527
▼ -0.20%
|
Gold
4324.6
▲ +0.08%
|
Oil (WTI)
78.36
▲ +4.79%
|
Bitcoin
64195
▼ -0.66%
|
10Y Yield
4.67
▲ +1.15%
|
Friday's payrolls gate dominates: the S&P 500 slipped 0.18% to 7,709.96 on Aug 6 while WTI jumped 4.79% to $78.36 and the 10-year yield rose to 4.67%, re-pricing stagflation risk into the 8:30 a.m. ET jobs print. The inter-market tell is oil-led inflation fear vs. still-subdued vol (VIX 15.15, -4.17%) and gold holding $4,324. Into the release, consensus sits near +80k–97.5k jobs with unemployment at 4.2% — a hot wages/strong payrolls combo could snap the metals/crypto bid; a sub-70k miss would revive cut odds.
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|
US EQUITY IDEAS
|
ABNB
GROWTH BUY
Airbnb, Inc. • Consumer Discretionary
|
$151.64
▲ +1.15%
|
Over the next 4–6 weeks, expect ABNB to re-rate on travel-demand durability after Q2 revenue of $3.61B (+17% y/y) beat $3.58B consensus and FY growth guidance moved to at least mid-teens. Conviction 7.5 BUY: Aug 6 EPS $1.37 vs $1.25 and Q3 revenue guide $4.69–4.77B vs $4.61B expected give a fresh, measurable beat-and-raise setup.
⚡ Aug 6 Q2 revenue $3.61B vs $3.58B expected ⚡ EPS $1.37 vs $1.25 expected ⚡ Q3 revenue guide $4.69–4.77B vs $4.61B consensus ⚡ Shares +~9% after hours Aug 6
|
Mkt Cap
N/A
| |
P/E
N/A
| |
Beta
N/A
| |
Target
$175.00
| |
Conviction
7.5/10
|
Invalidation: Q3 nights booked growth decelerates below high-single-digits in the next update.
|
|
TWLO
GROWTH BUY
Twilio Inc. • Technology
|
$193.20
▼ -0.44%
|
Over the next month, expect TWLO to extend its turnaround after Q2 revenue of $1.499B beat guidance and FY growth was raised to 18–18.5% with FCF guide $1.135–1.155B. Conviction 7.0 BUY: Aug 6 non-GAAP EPS $1.47 beat the high end of guide and shares rallied ~16% after hours — a fresh software recovery signal against the DDOG air-pocket.
⚡ Aug 6 Q2 revenue $1.499B above guidance ⚡ Non-GAAP EPS $1.47 vs guide high-end +$0.15 ⚡ FY26 revenue growth raised to 18–18.5% ⚡ After-hours +16.1% to ~$224 Aug 6
|
Mkt Cap
N/A
| |
P/E
N/A
| |
Beta
N/A
| |
Target
$240.00
| |
Conviction
7/10
|
Invalidation: Organic growth guide for Q3 slips below 11% on the next print.
|
|
LLY
GROWTH BUY 🔥 3-issue streak
Eli Lilly and Company • Healthcare
|
$1191.94
▲ +1.88%
|
Over the next 2–4 weeks, expect LLY to hold leadership after Q2 revenue +48% y/y and FY guide lifted to $85–87B; Morningstar raised fair value to $980 on Aug 6. Conviction 8.0 BUY: the Aug 5 print plus Aug 6 sell-side FVE upgrade keeps a live fundamental catalyst inside the 48-hour window.
⚡ Aug 5 Q2 revenue $22.97B (+48% y/y) ⚡ FY guide $85–87B ⚡ Morningstar FVE raised to $980 Aug 6 ⚡ LLY near $1,192 (+1.9% from entry)
|
Mkt Cap
N/A
| |
P/E
N/A
| |
Beta
N/A
| |
Target
$1250.00
| |
Conviction
8/10
|
Invalidation: Guidance cut or Zepbound share loss at the next print.
|
|
|
EU EQUITY IDEAS
|
SIE.DE
GROWTH BUY
Siemens AG • Industrials
|
$273.10
▼ -4.20%
|
Over the next month, expect SIE.DE to absorb a guidance-disappointment dip and reassert AI/data-center leverage after record Q3 orders of €27.9B (+14% comparable) and industrial profit €3.5B (+25%). Conviction 7.0 BUY: Aug 6 EPS pre-PPA guide raised to €11.20–11.50 on triple-digit data-center order growth — the sell-the-news drop is the entry, not the thesis break.
⚡ Aug 6 Q3 orders €27.9B record ⚡ Industrial profit €3.5B (+25%) ⚡ FY EPS pre-PPA guide raised to €11.20–11.50 ⚡ Data-center orders +triple-digit % ytd
|
Mkt Cap
N/A
| |
P/E
N/A
| |
Beta
N/A
| |
Target
$255.00
| |
Conviction
7/10
|
Invalidation: Q4 orders book-to-bill falls below 1.0 at the next print.
|
|
|
PENNY PLAYS
|
|
FOREX REBALANCING RADAR
Base currency: EUR — every stance below is relative to holding this currency's cash instead of EUR.
| Currency (vs EUR) |
Short-term |
Medium-term |
Long-term |
| USD 🔥3 |
AVOID (-5) |
NEUTRAL (0) |
NEUTRAL (0) |
|
Expect USD to trade heavy into 8:30 a.m. ET payrolls after oil pushed WTI to $78.36 (+4.8%) and 10Y to 4.67%; a miss would accelerate avoidance.
· vs. yesterday: reinforces
⚠ Contrarian watch: A >100k NFP with 0.4%+ m/m wages could unwind USD shorts violently into month-end.
|
| JPY 🔥10 |
SEEK (5) |
SEEK (4) |
SEEK (3) |
|
Expect yen demand while KOSPI is -5.98% and payrolls binary keeps risk subdued; EUR/JPY 182.14 is off recent highs.
· vs. yesterday: reinforces
⚠ Contrarian watch: MoF verbal intervention risk rises if USD/JPY rips on a hot payrolls print — size tactically.
|
| GBP 🔥35 |
SEEK (3) |
SEEK (4) |
NEUTRAL (1) |
|
Hold GBP carry at BoE 3.75% but do not add before payrolls clears USD direction.
· vs. yesterday: reinforces
|
| CHF 🔥10 |
NEUTRAL (0) |
NEUTRAL (0) |
NEUTRAL (-1) |
|
CHF hedges payrolls/oil angst but offers no carry — neutral until NFP passes.
· vs. yesterday: reinforces
|
| NOK |
NEUTRAL (1) |
SEEK (3) |
SEEK (2) |
|
Oil rebound to $78.36 improves NOK vs yesterday's avoid, but payrolls-driven USD moves dominate near-term.
· vs. yesterday: reverses
⚠ Contrarian watch: A weak NFP-driven USD dump could leave NOK lagging despite oil — watch the cross, not just crude.
|
Suggested rebalancing actions
DECREASE USD vs EUR — Trim USD into 8:30 a.m. ET payrolls with oil at $78.36 and 10Y 4.67%.
INCREASE JPY vs EUR — Add JPY while Asia chip unwind (KOSPI -5.98%) keeps risk subdued into NFP.
HOLD NOK vs EUR — Pause NOK cuts — oil rebound warrants neutrality until Norges Aug 13.
|
|
TOP 5 RISKS RIGHT NOW
|
#1 — Payrolls stagflation whipsaw
🔥 3
Escalating
Probability: HIGH
• Impact: HIGH
• Horizon: 24 hours
Watch: Friday Aug 7 NFP ~80k–97.5k consensus; Unemployment rate 4.2% expected; Average hourly earnings 0.3% m/m
|
|
#2 — Oil inflation snap-back (WTI >$78)
🔥 6
Escalating
Probability: MEDIUM
• Impact: HIGH
• Horizon: 1-5 days
Watch: WTI $78.36 (+4.8%) Aug 7; Yemen/Hormuz headlines; 10Y yield vs 4.70%
|
|
#3 — Asia AI/chip unwind spreads to US open
🔥 2
Stable
Probability: MEDIUM
• Impact: MEDIUM
• Horizon: 1-3 days
Watch: KOSPI -5.98%; Memory earnings reactions (WDC -13%); Nasdaq hold above 26,200
|
|
#4 — Credit complacency / HY spread compression
🔥 6
Stable
Probability: MEDIUM
• Impact: MEDIUM
• Horizon: 2-4 weeks
Watch: HY OAS 2.75% (Aug 5); IG OAS 0.78%; VIX 15.15 contango
|
|
#5 — Software guidance air-pocket (post-earnings dumps)
New
Probability: MEDIUM
• Impact: MEDIUM
• Horizon: 1-2 weeks
Watch: DDOG -19% Aug 6 despite beat; WDC -13% post-earnings; TWLO/ABNB after-hours gaps Aug 7 open
|
|
|
CRASH / BEAR-MARKET COVER PLAYBOOK
Regime: RISK-ON
| VIX |
15.15 / 25 |
Not Triggered
|
| 10Y-2Y spread |
0.44 / -0.2 |
Not Triggered
|
| HY OAS |
2.75 / 5 |
Not Triggered
|
| S&P 500 drawdown from 52w high |
-1.1 / -10 |
Not Triggered
|
If triggered today — do this now
• Raise cash toward 15% if VIX closes above 22 with payrolls hot and oil >$80
• Add GLD/TLT only after 10Y confirms below 4.60% post-NFP
• Use SH/VIXY if S&P loses 7,650 on a stagflation combo (hot jobs + oil)
• Let pending PLTR stop queue fill before adding fresh software beta
Hedge instruments: GLD, TLT, SH, VIXY
• Target cash: 15%
Zero of four crash triggers fired (VIX 15.15, HY OAS 2.75%, curve +44bps, S&P ~1% below records), but today's dominant risks are payrolls stagflation and oil at $78.36 — stay risk-on with tighter stops and ready hedges.
|
|
CRYPTOCURRENCY LANDSCAPE
Institutional bid persists — spot BTC ETFs added $244.4M on Aug 5 (third straight inflow day, $626M three-day total per Benzinga) — but BTC slipped to $64,195 (-0.66%) into payrolls. Hold BTC/ETH exposure; do not add beta until the jobs/real-yield reaction clears.
Institutional Moves
BlackRock (IBIT/ETHA)
IBIT took $196.8M of Aug 5's $244.4M bitcoin ETF inflow; ETHA led ether funds with $50.3M.
Franklin Templeton
Executive Christopher Perkins flagged accelerating institutional onboarding and a '$626M in three days' ETF inflow streak in an Aug 6 note.
Adoption Landscape
[US/UK] US/UK regulators expanded cooperation on stablecoin/tokenization frameworks per Aug 5 Treasury/FRWG statement — supports regulated on-ramps.
Asset Ideas
|
BTC
HOLD 🔥 33-issue streak
Bitcoin
|
$64195.00
▼ -0.66%
|
Into payrolls, expect BTC to trade as a duration proxy: hold above $63k if ETF inflows persist, but do not add until the 10Y reaction post-8:30 a.m. ET is clear. Conviction 5.5 HOLD — flows are bullish, macro binary is not.
⚡ Aug 5 spot BTC ETF +$244.4M ⚡ Three-day inflow streak $626M ⚡ BTC $64,195 pre-NFP ⚡ Friday payrolls 8:30 a.m. ET
Invalidation: BTC closes below $60k on a weekly basis.
|
|
ETH
HOLD 🔥 33-issue streak
Ethereum
|
$1903.92
▲ +2.03%
|
Over the next week, hold ETH for ETF-flow beta: Aug 5's $60.9M ether inflow is real but smaller than BTC, and payrolls-driven yield moves will dominate near-term. Conviction 5.0 HOLD until the macro print passes.
⚡ Aug 5 ether ETF +$60.9M ⚡ ETH $1,903.92 (+2.0%) ⚡ ETHA $50.3M inflow Aug 5 ⚡ Friday payrolls
Invalidation: ETH closes below $1,750 on a weekly basis.
|
|
|
WHAT'S COMING UP
| 2026-08-07 |
US July nonfarm payrolls + unemployment (8:30 a.m. ET)
· risk_top5
|
| 2026-08-13 |
Norges Bank monetary policy decision
· forex_rebalancing
|
|
|
PORTFOLIO REALITY CHECK
|
Tech US
Performance
|
Total Value
$102302.39
|
Cash
$46520.67
|
P&L
$2302.39 (+2.30%)
|
Realized P&L
$-2664.87
|
|
TWR
+2.30%
|
Sharpe
N/A
|
Max DD
-2.39%
|
|
Allocation
|
Today's Moves
BUY
ABNB
×6.53
• dispatched
Q2 beat-and-raise on travel demand; after-hours +~9%.
BUY
TWLO
×5.12
• dispatched
Q2 beat with FY growth guide raised to 18–18.5%.
BUY
LLY
×0.83
• dispatched
GLP-1 momentum intact; Morningstar FVE raised Aug 6.
SELL
PLTR
×5.87
Stop-loss SELL still PENDING from prior run; not re-dispatching.
Current Holdings
⚠ Live quotes degraded — positions priced at average cost.
PositionValueUnrealized P&L
TSM ×20.93
$8522.18
N/A
XOM ×120.40
$18330.57
N/A
UNH ×8.49
$3618.61
N/A
INTC ×14.08
$6182.42
N/A
MSFT ×11.91
$4848.05
N/A
SBUX ×11.63
$1239.82
N/A
CBRE ×8.29
$1239.81
N/A
AMZN ×4.38
$1190.23
N/A
CVX ×6.05
$1189.98
N/A
FRO ×30.23
$1190.22
N/A
PLTR ×5.87
$1095.02
N/A
MRVL ×13.67
$1073.11
N/A
CAT ×1.20
$1051.67
N/A
LLY ×1.71
$2020.43
N/A
ELF ×11.69
$1010.00
N/A
ABNB ×6.53
$989.80
N/A
TWLO ×5.12
$989.80
N/A
Track Record
4 On Track · 1 Lagging · 1 Stopped Out
PositionConviction ThenReturn SinceVerdict
PLTR (2026-08-05)
8.5/10
-16.40%
STOPPED OUT
MRVL (2026-08-05)
7/10
+168.20%
ON TRACK
CAT (2026-08-05)
7/10
-2.23%
LAGGING
ABNB (2026-08-07)
7.5/10
+0.00%
ON TRACK
TWLO (2026-08-07)
7/10
+0.00%
ON TRACK
LLY (2026-08-07)
8/10
+0.00%
ON TRACK
|
|
Euro Only
Performance
|
Total Value
$116239.42
|
Cash
$58357.96
|
P&L
$16239.42 (+16.24%)
|
Realized P&L
$-1870.28
|
|
TWR
+16.24%
|
Sharpe
N/A
|
Max DD
-1.87%
|
|
Allocation
|
Today's Moves
BUY
SIE.DE
×5.17
• dispatched
Record Q3 orders €27.9B; data-center AI leverage.
Current Holdings
⚠ Live quotes degraded — positions priced at average cost.
PositionValueUnrealized P&L
ASML.AS ×0.86
$19375.11
N/A
TTE.PA ×282.91
$20739.46
N/A
UNA.AS ×48.50
$2832.95
N/A
KER.PA ×5.30
$1553.28
N/A
RR.L ×101.30
$1460.08
N/A
VIE.PA ×48.50
$1430.88
N/A
GLE.PA ×17.29
$1402.26
N/A
MNDI.L ×157.88
$1402.26
N/A
NWG.L ×190.73
$1346.17
N/A
ACA.PA ×69.87
$1346.48
N/A
PHIA.AS ×59.20
$1346.18
N/A
BESI.AS ×6.70
$1240.09
N/A
ENR.DE ×8.06
$1215.28
N/A
SIE.DE ×5.17
$1190.97
N/A
PositionConviction ThenReturn SinceVerdict
SIE.DE (2026-08-07)
7/10
+0.00%
ON TRACK
|
|
Penny Plays
Performance
|
Total Value
$95417.43
|
Cash
$84510.79
|
P&L
$-4582.57 (-4.58%)
|
Realized P&L
$-4582.57
|
|
TWR
-4.58%
|
Sharpe
N/A
|
Max DD
-4.58%
|
|
Allocation
|
Today's Moves
No new activity today — no open thesis needed adjusting.
Current Holdings
⚠ Live quotes degraded — positions priced at average cost.
PositionValueUnrealized P&L
GOSS ×18577.85
$3755.55
N/A
PYPD ×859.73
$3593.88
N/A
STXS ×2738.06
$3557.21
N/A
|
|
Anti-Fragile
Performance
|
Total Value
$100000.00
|
Cash
$100000.00
|
P&L
$0.0000 (+0.00%)
|
Realized P&L
$0.0000
|
|
TWR
+0.00%
|
Sharpe
N/A
|
Max DD
+0.00%
|
|
Allocation
|
Today's Moves
No new activity today — no open thesis needed adjusting.
|
|
Trend Follow
Performance
|
Total Value
$100000.00
|
Cash
$100000.00
|
P&L
$0.0000 (+0.00%)
|
Realized P&L
$0.0000
|
|
TWR
+0.00%
|
Sharpe
N/A
|
Max DD
+0.00%
|
|
Allocation
|
Today's Moves
No new activity today — no open thesis needed adjusting.
|
|
Commodities
Performance
|
Total Value
$100000.00
|
Cash
$72349.71
|
P&L
$0.0000 (+0.00%)
|
Realized P&L
$0.0000
|
|
TWR
+0.00%
|
Sharpe
N/A
|
Max DD
+0.00%
|
|
Allocation
|
Today's Moves
BUY
GLD
×3.79
• dispatched
Pre-NFP gold hedge with oil at $78 and 10Y 4.67%.
Current Holdings
⚠ Live quotes degraded — positions priced at average cost.
PositionValueUnrealized P&L
USO ×128.34
$16625.19
N/A
GLD ×16.53
$6282.81
N/A
CPER ×83.09
$3235.64
N/A
SLV ×26.87
$1506.66
N/A
PositionConviction ThenReturn SinceVerdict
GLD (2026-08-07)
7.5/10
+0.00%
ON TRACK
|
|
Crypto
Performance
|
Total Value
$100000.00
|
Cash
$72290.50
|
P&L
$0.0000 (+0.00%)
|
Realized P&L
$0.0000
|
|
TWR
+0.00%
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Sharpe
N/A
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Max DD
+0.00%
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Allocation
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Today's Moves
No new activity today — no open thesis needed adjusting.
Current Holdings
⚠ Live quotes degraded — positions priced at average cost.
PositionValueUnrealized P&L
BTC-USD ×0.24
$15869.18
N/A
ETH-USD ×6.23
$11840.32
N/A
Track Record
1 On Track · 1 Lagging
PositionConviction ThenReturn SinceVerdict
BTC-USD (2026-08-05)
7/10
-0.57%
LAGGING
ETH-USD (2026-08-05)
5.5/10
+0.15%
ON TRACK
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30-day hit rate across all portfolios: +70.00%
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This newsletter is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before investing.
Morning Alpha • Generated Fri, 07 Aug 2026 05:07:30 GMT • info@gmc-works.com
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